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Prof: Dems Know They're Facing Apocalypse in Midterms, So They're Playing the 'Trump is Bad' Tune_我的网站

浪花一朵朵

一 |     Professor David Woodard, Clemson University political scientist and former political consultant for Republican congressmen, believes that an early bid by Donald Trump could be "a disaster.",Sputnik: What are the pros and cons of starting the race in the middle of the highly publicized January 6 panel hearings?,Woodard: In my opinion Trump is not starting his race in the middle of the hearings. He is waiting and will file for office later. He likes the spotlight, but this time the hearings only hurt him. The Democrats know they are facing the apocalypse in the midterm elections this year, so they are playing the only tune they can - Trump is bad. They are hopeful of discrediting Trump before the midterm elections. I think the tactic is good: Trump has two impeachments against him and a riot on election day - those are not good recommendations for someone to run for office.,Trump Reportedly Mulls Making 2024 Presidential Bid as Early as July While Aides & Allies Divided2 July, 12:34 GMT,Sputnik: What legal and political consequences do you expect from the congressional hearings into the Capitol riot, especially given Cassidy Hutchinson's testimony last week?,Woodard: I think Cassidy Hutchinson will be discredited, but her testimony has been successful in raising questions Republicans, not just Democrats, have about Trump. Even if she can't prove that Trump "lunged for the wheel" in the limo, the behavior described fits his former president's personality. I think the GOP regulars are looking for a new leader and this hearing serves to discredit Trump even in his denial.,I think the hearings will be criticized by the Republican - about to be majority - in Congress. If Liz Cheney loses, then the hearings will be discredited. If Liz Cheney wins her race, (that is possible, but not probable) then the Trump people are in trouble because her victory shows that the GOP is independent of Trump appeals. That's big news.,Sputnik: Some Republicans are urging Trump to postpone his campaigning until after the midterms, arguing that he might prove a distraction from the party's message. How would an early bid affect the upcoming midterms results?,Woodard: An early bid by Trump could be a disaster. It is like the American space program, the early launch of a rocket means it could tumble back to earth. Trump is fully capable of a mistimed beginning, this isn't 2016 anymore. Timing is important in politics, and the Trump election was perfectly timed opposite Hillary Clinton. That isn't the case anymore, he's overstayed his time on the stage, and Republicans are ready to change to a new voice.,Trump Could Preempt ‘Bogus Findings’ of January 6 Hearing by Announcing 2024 Bid Early, Pundit SaysYesterday, 15:29 GMT,Sputnik: Trump would enter the race with an approval rating among Republicans of around 80 percent. Would an early bid help Trump to reassert himself as the head of the party and cause voters to rally behind him?,Woodard: Remember this about approval ratings (the 80% for Trump): They don't transfer into votes. Yes, Republicans remember Trump, but they also remember Teddy Roosevelt and Ronald Reagan - that doesn't mean they think those people from the past are the best choice in the present. Trump can only re-assert his leadership if he trashes his opponents in early presidential primaries...until then, everything about Trump is pure speculation. I believe that Trump - like Barry Goldwater, Ross Perot, and Richard Nixon - is past history. He can't revive himself after he is so well-known, and with his reputation he has a real problem looking good.,Sputnik: Who are his main rivals inside the party and how do you rate their chances?,Woodard: Obviously, the main voice of the future is Ron DeSantis in Florida. He's a governor and he has a regular voice opposite Biden. Tom Cotton from Arkansas is a solid, conservative voice but he isn't a startling, bright personality. Rick Scott is another Florida personality, but I think he is behind DeSantis. Nikki Haley from SC is a much smaller light than other members of the field, but she might make a good VP. Ted Cruz from Texas is too rough a personality after Trump, people like - they don't love - Cruz.,© AP Photo / Wilfredo LeeFlorida Gov. Ron DeSantis listens during a news conference, Tuesday, Aug. 3, 2021, near the Shark Valley Visitor Center in MiamiFlorida Gov. Ron DeSantis listens during a news conference, Tuesday, Aug. 3, 2021, near the Shark Valley Visitor Center in Miami© AP Photo / Wilfredo Lee,Mike Pence is strengthened by the congressional hearings because he is shown to be an honest man. His problem is that he doesn't have a platform to address the audience. I think Trump will be shown to be a bag of wind, something Americans don't want in the presidential office again.。    

据江苏省气象台刚刚发布的消息:台风“梅花”9月15日03时10分前后进入苏州太仓境内,预计,“梅花”将以每小时30公里左右的速度向北偏西方向快速移动,强度逐渐减弱,穿过江苏和山东,16日白天移入渤海,逐渐变性为温带气旋。太仓市气象局发布最新台风警报:今年第12号台风“梅花”(强热带风暴)今天05时其中心位于太仓市偏北方向约40公里的江苏省海门市境内,为北纬31.9度、东经121.2度,近中心最大风力11级(30米/秒),中心最低气压980百帕。预计“梅花”将以每小时25至30公里的速度向北偏西方向移动,强度逐渐减弱。受其影响,预计今天上午太仓市偏西风风力可达6~7级阵风8~9级、沿江阵风10级。中央气象台消息:台风“梅花”今天06时中心位于江苏南通通州区境内,中心附近最大风力10级(强热带风暴级,28米/秒)。预计,“梅花”将以每小时20至25公里的速度向北偏西方向移动,强度逐渐减弱。(总台记者 吴睿)

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